Amajwi umunani gusa yatandukanije Mitt Romney na Rick Santorum uharanira imibereho myiza y'abaturage muri Iowa, bituma habaho umwanya wo guhatanira GOP guhatanira kandidatire ya perezida ushobora kumara igihe cy'impeshyi.
Nukuvuga, keretse niba Romney yagize icyo atangaza muri uku kwezi, guhera kuri New Hampshire mucyumweru gitaha.
“Abantu benshi biteze ko Romney atsinda muri New Hampshire; ikibazo gusa ni intera ye,”ibi bikaba byavuzwe na Mugenzi mukuru w'ikigo cya Brookings, William Galston. Ati: "Niba akomeje gutsinda muri Caroline yepfo, birashoboka ko isiganwa rizarangira ukwezi kurangiye. Niba atsinzwe hariya no muri Floride, bizakomeza nibura muri Werurwe.”
Abatora bagera ku bihumbi 122 bitabiriye impamvu za Iowa, bisa n’umwaka wa 2008 werekana igihe undi muntu uharanira inyungu rusange, Mike Huckabee, yasimbukaga ku majwi 34%.
Galston yagize ati: "Ntabwo nteze ko Santorum ikora neza kurusha Huckabee muri New Hampshire, kandi amahirwe afite muri Carolina y'Amajyepfo ni ukujya guhura na Romney, nkeka ko bitazabaho."
Ron Paul yarangije umwanya wa gatatu muri Iowa, akurikiwe na Newt Gingrich na Rick Perry. Uyu munsi, Michele Bachmann yahagaritse kwiyamamaza nyuma yo kurangiza uwa gatandatu.
Galston yavuze ko mu gihe Iowa ifite umubare muto w'abaturage bake kandi umubare w'abashomeri ukaba muke, abaterankunga batanga ibihembo imbonankubone, bikagabanya ingaruka z'amafaranga. Yavuze ko kubera ko abatora mu nteko ishinga amategeko basabwa kwerekana ku buryo bugaragara ahantu runaka mu gihe runaka, abaterankunga bakunda kugira umubare muto, ariko bakazana abatora cyane.
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